Digital Twins for Alzheimer’s Disease Patients

Master’s Capstone Project, UC Berkeley

Teammates: Yiqiao Huang, Hongyi Lu, Yilin Ni

Advisor: Professor Thomas Bengtsson, UC Berkeley

We developed digital twins for Alzheimer’s Disease patients, i.e., predictions of outcomes for individual patients describing their likely progression in the future under standard-of-care given their baseline characteristics. We exploited the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database and extracted features including psychological assessments, biospecimen, genetics, and PET imaging. We trained a Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine (CRBM) to predict the distribution of a patient’s features at future time points given his/her features at baseline. We showed that our model effectively captures the distribution of variables and performs comparably to linear regression and random forest for time points near the baseline.

Task definition and CRBM structure.
CRBM captures the true distributions for most variables.